Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 7.805036e-01 0.989616 1.223316 1.501042 1.819295 2.169926 2.582729
2025-08-03 4.642701e-01 0.718127 1.038167 1.458349 1.982749 2.603633 3.382073
2025-08-10 2.898026e-01 0.553184 0.927414 1.464912 2.185185 3.087327 4.272344
2025-08-17 1.680979e-01 0.410534 0.802981 1.419151 2.300905 3.460980 5.045451
2025-08-24 1.118833e-01 0.345372 0.769340 1.484533 2.560206 4.026723 6.085224
2025-08-31 6.694173e-02 0.275320 0.705985 1.488573 2.724512 4.467217 6.975653
2025-09-07 4.583116e-02 0.244299 0.700860 1.579125 3.016500 5.092066 8.132010
2025-09-14 2.909341e-02 0.210929 0.680621 1.637587 3.258811 5.653086 9.216841
2025-09-21 1.655470e-02 0.176483 0.646777 1.664017 3.447876 6.140694 10.211242
2025-09-28 7.378798e-03 0.138017 0.589598 1.635928 3.541918 6.487575 11.013542
2025-10-05 3.419702e-03 0.116216 0.565371 1.665683 3.730110 6.978068 12.029696
2025-10-12 1.198417e-03 0.095495 0.535412 1.677641 3.885437 7.420635 12.984630
2025-10-19 1.423717e-04 0.071052 0.482964 1.635436 3.946206 7.725557 13.758186
2025-10-26 5.188074e-08 0.051876 0.435746 1.595512 4.006154 8.029741 14.538163
2025-11-02 NaN 0.040792 0.411843 1.605189 4.156380 8.481189 15.547389
2025-11-09 NaN 0.028047 0.368402 1.557763 4.193205 8.748227 16.283128
2025-11-16 NaN 0.024673 0.370579 1.628118 4.461022 9.400485 17.616739
2025-11-23 NaN 0.018540 0.349787 1.632762 4.598267 9.839114 18.630661
2025-11-30 NaN 0.017348 0.361441 1.729376 4.924137 10.600484 20.154413
2025-12-07 NaN 0.014903 0.361246 1.791675 5.182510 11.253531 21.520328
2025-12-14 NaN 0.011681 0.350093 1.819832 5.371390 11.792556 22.716987
2025-12-21 NaN 0.007621 0.321634 1.789978 5.436676 12.120951 23.588756
2025-12-28 NaN 0.005815 0.313337 1.821637 5.632573 12.677538 24.826617